Systematic · Rules-based · Weekly

Investing with a strategy built for the ups and the downs.

TrendShield is a rules-based weekly signal for leveraged ETFs — TQQQ and BITU. It leans in when the trend is healthy, plays defense when it weakens, and steps aside when it breaks. No predictions. No black box.

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Weekly Signal — three states, one rulebook Live

LONG

Trend is healthy — fully invested in the leveraged position.

HEDGE

Trend is weakening — a defensive overlay reduces exposure.

DEFEND

Trend has broken — rotate out, protect capital, wait.

The strategy moves between these three states on a weekly signal. You always know which one you're in.
How it works

One rulebook. Every kind of market.

Leveraged ETFs reward you in strong trends and punish you in choppy or falling ones. TrendShield's whole job is to be exposed during the good stretches and protected during the bad ones — decided by rules, not emotion.

STATE 01

Get in

When the weekly trend is healthy, the signal says enter — and how much. Strong setups get full conviction; weaker ones get a cautious, partial entry.

STATE 02

Play defense

When the trend weakens, the signal adds a hedge instead of hoping. You stay in the game with less exposure, not all-or-nothing.

STATE 03

Step aside

When the trend truly breaks, the signal rotates you out and defensive — so a deep drawdown doesn't compound against you while you wait for the next entry.

The numbers — backtested, ~6 years

The good, and the risk. Both true.

Tested across roughly six years of real market history, including the 2022 bear market:

Growth (in testing)
$10k → ~$474k
Strong compounding over the test period — driven by staying invested through healthy trends and protecting capital in the bad ones.
Worst drawdown
−34%
In the worst stretch it fell about a third before recovering — with the defensive rules working. You have to be able to hold through that.

These are hypothetical, backtested results — not money actually earned by any investor. Backtests benefit from hindsight; real results may be worse, and a future downturn could be deeper than −34%. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Honest fit

Built for some people. Not for everyone.

We'd rather tell you the truth up front than sign you up for something you'll regret.

This is for you if…

  • You're investing money you can leave alone for years, not next month's rent.
  • You want a disciplined process instead of reacting to headlines.
  • You understand leveraged ETFs are higher-risk and accept the swings.
  • You could watch a 34% drop and follow the plan instead of panic-selling.

This is not for you if…

  • You need the money soon, or can't afford to lose it.
  • You want guaranteed returns or a "can't lose" system — those are lies.
  • A one-third drawdown would make you sell at the bottom.
  • You're looking for daily trades or quick flips. This is slow and weekly.
Why trust it

No black box. No "just trust us."

You see every state

The app always shows which of the three states you're in and what to do — in plain language, every week.

Tested on real history

The strategy was replayed across years of real market data — including the downturns — before a dollar was ever at stake.

Honest about risk

We lead with the drawdown, not just the upside. The risk is stated everywhere, because that's what an honest tool does.

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See it for yourself — free for a month.

Get the live weekly signal, see how it works, and understand the risks in plain language. No pressure, no card for the trial. Bring your hardest questions.

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